Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Romário de Souza Faria
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 0.88)
0.97 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.6% | 33.1% | 38.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.1%
0 - 1
16.6%
1 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Paduano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Duque de Caxias | 0 | 17.1% | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Paduano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 25% | 38% |
| Defense | 50% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Paduano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 25% | 43% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 43% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
Form: Duque de Caxias: WLWLDLW • Paduano: WDLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Paduano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Duque de Caxias | Paduano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 43% | 43% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 43% | 29% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Paduano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Paduano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Paduano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Paduano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 64.2% | 35.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Duque de Caxias or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Duque de Caxias = 0.79 (league 0.88), Paduano = 0.97 (league 0.93)
| Paduano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Duque de Caxias | 0 | 17.1% | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 38.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1