Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Antônio Ferreira de Medeiros
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.02) 1.97 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.4% 18.3% 73.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 2
18.3%
0 - 3
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Bonsucesso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carapebus 0 9.5% 18.6% 18.3% 12.0% 5.9% 2.3%
1 3.7% 7.3% 7.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
2 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarapebusBonsucesso
Played55
Form7%100%
Attack7%60%
Defense33%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carapebus Bonsucesso
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%50%25%75%75%75%
Draws50%0%25%25%25%25%
Loses50%50%50%0%0%0%

Form: Carapebus: WDWLLLDL • Bonsucesso: DWDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Carapebus Bonsucesso
HATHAT
GF total0445712
GF avg0.01.00.51.31.81.5
GA total4610134
GA avg1.01.51.30.30.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarapebusBonsucesso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%50%88%38%
1.513%50%50%13%
2.50%25%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarapebusBonsucesso
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score415101

Penalties

MetricCarapebusBonsucesso
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCarapebusBonsucesso
Wins11
Draws11
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-0——
Goals For0223
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricCarapebusBonsucesso
Form6%94%
Att10%90%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total13.0%87.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bonsucesso

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carapebus = 0.39 (league 1.02), Bonsucesso = 1.97 (league 0.91)

Bonsucesso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carapebus 0 9.5% 18.6% 18.3% 12.0% 5.9% 2.3%
1 3.7% 7.3% 7.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
2 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.4% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 73.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1