Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Antônio Ferreira de Medeiros
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.07) 2.10 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.7% 17.1% 74.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
17.3%
0 - 1
16.4%
0 - 3
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bonsucesso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carapebus 0 7.8% 16.4% 17.3% 12.1% 6.3% 2.7%
1 3.5% 7.4% 7.7% 5.4% 2.8% 1.2%
2 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarapebusBonsucesso
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack22%89%
Defense11%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carapebus Bonsucesso
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%60%33%60%75%67%
Draws50%0%22%40%25%33%
Loses50%40%44%0%0%0%

Form: Carapebus: WDWLLLDLW • Bonsucesso: DWDWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Carapebus Bonsucesso
HATHAT
GF total0556713
GF avg0.01.00.61.21.81.4
GA total4610235
GA avg1.01.21.10.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarapebusBonsucesso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%44%89%44%
1.511%44%44%11%
2.50%22%11%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarapebusBonsucesso
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score415101

Penalties

MetricCarapebusBonsucesso
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCarapebusBonsucesso
Wins15
Draws11
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-0——
Goals For0223
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricCarapebusBonsucesso
Form24%76%
Att20%80%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total25.7%74.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bonsucesso

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ Betano
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away2.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carapebus = 0.45 (league 1.07), Bonsucesso = 2.10 (league 0.86)

Bonsucesso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carapebus 0 7.8% 16.4% 17.3% 12.1% 6.3% 2.7%
1 3.5% 7.4% 7.7% 5.4% 2.8% 1.2%
2 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.7% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 74.2%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1