Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 18:00 • Centro de Formação de Atletas TROPS
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.07) 1.17 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 26.4% 31.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.8%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Duque de Caxias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Niteroiense 0 7.7% 9.0% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.5% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiteroienseDuque de Caxias
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack78%56%
Defense0%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Niteroiense Duque de Caxias
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%40%33%60%25%44%
Draws0%60%33%40%0%22%
Loses75%0%33%0%75%33%

Form: Niteroiense: WDLWLDLDW • Duque de Caxias: WLWLDLWWD

League goals

Metric Niteroiense Duque de Caxias
HATHAT
GF total4711628
GF avg1.01.41.21.20.50.9
GA total8513369
GA avg2.01.01.40.61.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiteroienseDuque de Caxias
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%67%56%
1.533%56%22%44%
2.511%22%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiteroienseDuque de Caxias
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricNiteroienseDuque de Caxias
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNiteroienseDuque de Caxias
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-32-10-1
Biggest losses1-3——2-0
Goals For2321
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricNiteroienseDuque de Caxias
Form38%62%
Att58%42%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Duque de Caxias

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Superbet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.20 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Niteroiense = 1.40 (league 1.07), Duque de Caxias = 1.17 (league 0.86)

Duque de Caxias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Niteroiense 0 7.7% 9.0% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.5% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 31.2%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1