Carioca - 2
— Brazil
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Romário de Souza Faria
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.07)
0.46 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.4% | 27.3% | 12.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.9%
0 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Nova Cidade | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Duque de Caxias | 0 | 15.6% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.3% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 20% | 20% |
| Defense | 67% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Nova Cidade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 75% | 0% | 38% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 38% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Duque de Caxias: WLWLDLWW • Nova Cidade: LDDWLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Nova Cidade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Duque de Caxias | Nova Cidade | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 50% | 38% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 38% | 25% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Nova Cidade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Duque de Caxias or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Duque de Caxias = 1.40 (league 1.07), Nova Cidade = 0.46 (league 0.86)
| Nova Cidade | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Duque de Caxias | 0 | 15.6% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.3% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.4% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 12.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1