Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Antônio Ferreira de Medeiros
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.22 (league 1.07) 0.47 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.2% 55.5% 31.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
50.1%
0 - 1
23.4%
1 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Duque de Caxias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carapebus 0 50.1% 23.4% 5.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.2% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarapebusDuque de Caxias
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack33%56%
Defense22%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carapebus Duque de Caxias
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%60%30%60%20%40%
Draws60%0%30%40%20%30%
Loses40%40%40%0%60%30%

Form: Carapebus: WDWLLLDLWD • Duque de Caxias: WLWLDLWWDD

League goals

Metric Carapebus Duque de Caxias
HATHAT
GF total156628
GF avg0.21.00.61.20.40.8
GA total5611369
GA avg1.01.21.10.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarapebusDuque de Caxias
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%60%50%
1.510%40%20%40%
2.50%20%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarapebusDuque de Caxias
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score415134

Penalties

MetricCarapebusDuque de Caxias
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCarapebusDuque de Caxias
Wins12
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-10-1
Biggest losses0-23-0—2-0
Goals For1221
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricCarapebusDuque de Caxias
Form38%62%
Att38%63%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total41.3%58.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Duque de Caxias and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carapebus = 0.22 (league 1.07), Duque de Caxias = 0.47 (league 0.86)

Duque de Caxias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carapebus 0 50.1% 23.4% 5.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.2% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.2% · Draw 55.5% · Away win 31.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1