Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 18:00 • Centro de Formação de Atletas TROPS
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.06) 1.43 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.7% 26.5% 45.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Paduano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Niteroiense 0 8.3% 11.9% 8.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.6% 6.6% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiteroiensePaduano
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack67%44%
Defense33%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Niteroiense Paduano
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%40%30%40%20%30%
Draws20%60%40%0%20%10%
Loses60%0%30%60%60%60%

Form: Niteroiense: WDLWLDLDWD • Paduano: WDLWLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Niteroiense Paduano
HATHAT
GF total47117411
GF avg0.81.41.11.40.81.1
GA total85136713
GA avg1.61.01.31.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiteroiensePaduano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%60%50%80%
1.530%50%30%50%
2.510%20%10%0%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiteroiensePaduano
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score213325

Penalties

MetricNiteroiensePaduano
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricNiteroiensePaduano
Wins11
Draws11
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-35-21-2
Biggest losses1-3—0-22-0
Goals For2352
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricNiteroiensePaduano
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Niteroiense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Niteroiense = 1.06 (league 1.06), Paduano = 1.43 (league 0.89)

Paduano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Niteroiense 0 8.3% 11.9% 8.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.6% 6.6% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.7% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 45.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1