Carioca - 2
— Brazil
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio AtÃlio Marotti
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.07)
2.61 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8% | 16.2% | 65.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 2
8.8%
1 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Bonsucesso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Serrano RJ | 0 | 2.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Bonsucesso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 73% |
| Attack | 67% | 89% |
| Defense | 44% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Bonsucesso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 40% | 40% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Draws | 20% | 40% | 30% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Loses | 40% | 20% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Serrano RJ: DWLLWLDWWD • Bonsucesso: DWDWWWWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Bonsucesso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Serrano RJ | Bonsucesso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 90% | 90% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 20% | 40% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Bonsucesso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Bonsucesso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Bonsucesso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Bonsucesso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Bonsucesso
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Serrano RJ = 1.05 (league 1.07), Bonsucesso = 2.61 (league 0.86)
| Bonsucesso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Serrano RJ | 0 | 2.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.8% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 65.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1