Goiano - 3 — Brazil
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 18:30 • Estádio Gilmar Alves de Oliveira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.25 (league 1.41) 0.06 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.7% 1.7% 0.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
18.3%
3 - 0
17.2%
5 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Rioverdense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bom Jesus EC 0 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBom Jesus ECRioverdense
Played33
Form78%33%
Attack27%7%
Defense93%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.31 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.310 | 3.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bom Jesus EC Rioverdense
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%50%0%33%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%50%100%67%

Form: Bom Jesus EC: WDW • Rioverdense: LLW

League goals

Metric Bom Jesus EC Rioverdense
HATHAT
GF total134101
GF avg1.01.51.30.50.00.3
GA total0114610
GA avg0.00.50.32.06.03.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBom Jesus ECRioverdense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%33%67%
1.533%0%0%67%
2.533%0%0%67%
3.50%0%0%67%
4.50%0%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBom Jesus ECRioverdense
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricBom Jesus ECRioverdense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBom Jesus ECRioverdense
Wins10
Draws10
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-31-0—
Biggest losses——0-46-0
Goals For1310
Goals Against0146

Model comparison

MetricBom Jesus ECRioverdense
Form70%30%
Att80%20%
Def91%9%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total80.3%19.7%

Advice: Winner : Bom Jesus EC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bom Jesus EC = 4.25 (league 1.41), Rioverdense = 0.06 (league 1.55)

Rioverdense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bom Jesus EC 0 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.7% · Draw 1.7% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1