Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 19:00 •
Estádio Mozart Veloso do Carmo
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.59)
0.86 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.0% | 38.1% | 42.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.3%
0 - 1
22.7%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| America GO | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rioverdense | 0 | 26.3% | 22.7% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rioverdense | America GO |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Attack | 5% | 26% |
| Defense | 32% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 3.3 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rioverdense | America GO | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Rioverdense: LLWL • America GO: WWLW
League goals
| Metric | Rioverdense | America GO | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rioverdense | America GO | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 75% | 75% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 75% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 75% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rioverdense | America GO | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rioverdense | America GO |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rioverdense | America GO |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rioverdense | America GO |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 19% | 81% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 26.3% | 73.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or America GO
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rioverdense = 0.47 (league 1.59), America GO = 0.86 (league 1.16)
| America GO | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rioverdense | 0 | 26.3% | 22.7% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 38.1% · Away win 42.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1