Goiano - 3 — Brazil
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:30 • Estádio Gilmar Alves de Oliveira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.41) 0.65 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.4% 27.3% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
12.8%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Aparecida GO
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bom Jesus EC 0 12.7% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 11.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 8.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBom Jesus ECAparecida GO
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack100%83%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bom Jesus EC Aparecida GO
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%0%50%20%
Draws0%33%20%33%50%40%
Loses0%0%0%67%0%40%

Form: Bom Jesus EC: WDWWW • Aparecida GO: DLDWL

League goals

Metric Bom Jesus EC Aparecida GO
HATHAT
GF total4610055
GF avg2.02.02.00.02.51.0
GA total022224
GA avg0.00.70.40.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBom Jesus ECAparecida GO
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%40%80%
1.560%0%20%0%
2.560%0%20%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBom Jesus ECAparecida GO
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score011303

Penalties

MetricBom Jesus ECAparecida GO
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBom Jesus ECAparecida GO
Wins11
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-3—1-4
Biggest losses——0-1—
Goals For3304
Goals Against0111

Model comparison

MetricBom Jesus ECAparecida GO
Form72%28%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total68.7%31.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bom Jesus EC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bom Jesus EC = 1.42 (league 1.41), Aparecida GO = 0.65 (league 1.55)

Aparecida GO
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bom Jesus EC 0 12.7% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 11.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 8.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 17.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1