Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Fausto Coppi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.24) 2.70 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.6% 14.1% 71.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.9%
0 - 3
9.8%
1 - 2
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ligorna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derthona 0 3.0% 8.1% 10.9% 9.8% 6.6% 3.6%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.8% 7.9% 5.4% 2.9%
2 1.0% 2.6% 3.6% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2%
3 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerthonaLigorna
Played33
Form33%78%
Attack44%56%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.35 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 23 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derthona Ligorna
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%100%0%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%33%
Loses100%50%67%0%0%0%

Form: Derthona: WLL • Ligorna: WDW

League goals

Metric Derthona Ligorna
HATHAT
GF total134415
GF avg1.01.51.32.01.01.7
GA total336213
GA avg3.01.52.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerthonaLigorna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%100%67%
1.533%67%33%33%
2.533%33%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerthonaLigorna
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricDerthonaLigorna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricDerthonaLigorna
Wins11
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-33-2—
Biggest losses1-31-0——
Goals For1331
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricDerthonaLigorna
Form30%70%
Att44%56%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total28.3%71.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ligorna

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Superbet
Draw3.15 @ Superbet
Away2.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No1.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derthona = 0.81 (league 1.24), Ligorna = 2.70 (league 1.11)

Ligorna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derthona 0 3.0% 8.1% 10.9% 9.8% 6.6% 3.6%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.8% 7.9% 5.4% 2.9%
2 1.0% 2.6% 3.6% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2%
3 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.6% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 71.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1