Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.24)
1.35 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.3% | 22.9% | 28.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Derthona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Valenzana | 0 | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Valenzana | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 25% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 58% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Valenzana | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
Form: Valenzana: WLDD • Derthona: WLLL
League goals
| Metric | Valenzana | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Valenzana | Derthona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Valenzana | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Valenzana | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Valenzana | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | — | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Valenzana | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Valenzana or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Valenzana = 1.82 (league 1.24), Derthona = 1.35 (league 1.11)
| Derthona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Valenzana | 0 | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 28.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1