Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Edoardo Riboli
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.24)
1.81 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | 19.3% | 28.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Celle Varazze | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lavagnese | 0 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lavagnese | Celle Varazze |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 50% |
| Attack | 42% | 42% |
| Defense | 50% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lavagnese | Celle Varazze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Lavagnese: WDDL • Celle Varazze: LWWL
League goals
| Metric | Lavagnese | Celle Varazze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lavagnese | Celle Varazze | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lavagnese | Celle Varazze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lavagnese | Celle Varazze |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lavagnese | Celle Varazze |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lavagnese | Celle Varazze |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Lavagnese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lavagnese = 2.43 (league 1.24), Celle Varazze = 1.81 (league 1.10)
| Celle Varazze | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lavagnese | 0 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 28.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1