Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Campo Sportivo Ligorna
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.25)
3.62 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.3% | 8.2% | 71.6% |
best score tips
0 - 3
9.5%
0 - 4
8.6%
0 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sestri Levante | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ligorna | 0 | 1.2% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ligorna | Sestri Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 83% | 50% |
| Attack | 58% | 83% |
| Defense | 75% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 10 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ligorna | Sestri Levante | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Ligorna: WDWW • Sestri Levante: LWLW
League goals
| Metric | Ligorna | Sestri Levante | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ligorna | Sestri Levante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ligorna | Sestri Levante | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ligorna | Sestri Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ligorna | Sestri Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | — | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 2-5 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ligorna | Sestri Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 20% | 80% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Ligorna or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ligorna = 0.80 (league 1.25), Sestri Levante = 3.62 (league 1.10)
| Sestri Levante | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ligorna | 0 | 1.2% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.3% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 71.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1