Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Vista Vision Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.25) 2.72 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.5% 10.7% 80.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.4%
0 - 3
14.8%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Città di Varese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Milano 0 4.4% 12.0% 16.4% 14.8% 10.1% 5.5%
1 1.8% 4.8% 6.5% 5.9% 4.0% 2.2%
2 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub MilanoCittà di Varese
Played44
Form17%83%
Attack33%50%
Defense50%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 16 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.52 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Milano Città di Varese
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%50%100%75%
Draws50%50%50%50%0%25%
Loses50%50%50%0%0%0%

Form: Club Milano: LLDD • Città di Varese: WDWW

League goals

Metric Club Milano Città di Varese
HATHAT
GF total224246
GF avg1.01.01.01.02.01.5
GA total336112
GA avg1.51.51.50.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub MilanoCittà di Varese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%75%50%
1.550%50%50%0%
2.50%25%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub MilanoCittà di Varese
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricClub MilanoCittà di Varese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricClub MilanoCittà di Varese
Wins01
Draws01
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-3
Biggest losses2-31-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against3211

Model comparison

MetricClub MilanoCittà di Varese
Form17%83%
Att40%60%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total24.3%75.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Città di Varese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Milano = 0.40 (league 1.25), Città di Varese = 2.72 (league 1.10)

Città di Varese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Milano 0 4.4% 12.0% 16.4% 14.8% 10.1% 5.5%
1 1.8% 4.8% 6.5% 5.9% 4.0% 2.2%
2 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.5% · Draw 10.7% · Away win 80.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1