Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Fausto Coppi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.25) 2.26 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.2% 16.5% 72.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.6%
0 - 1
12.9%
0 - 3
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Gozzano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derthona 0 5.7% 12.9% 14.6% 11.0% 6.3% 2.8%
1 3.4% 7.7% 8.8% 6.6% 3.7% 1.7%
2 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerthonaGozzano
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack46%38%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derthona Gozzano
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%67%40%33%0%20%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses100%33%60%67%50%60%

Form: Derthona: WLLLW • Gozzano: LLLDW

League goals

Metric Derthona Gozzano
HATHAT
GF total156325
GF avg0.51.71.21.01.01.0
GA total549336
GA avg2.51.31.81.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerthonaGozzano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%80%80%
1.540%60%20%40%
2.520%20%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerthonaGozzano
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricDerthonaGozzano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDerthonaGozzano
Wins10
Draws01
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-32-0
Biggest losses1-31-01-22-1
Goals For1321
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricDerthonaGozzano
Form60%40%
Att55%45%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gozzano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Derthona = 0.60 (league 1.25), Gozzano = 2.26 (league 1.10)

Gozzano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derthona 0 5.7% 12.9% 14.6% 11.0% 6.3% 2.8%
1 3.4% 7.7% 8.8% 6.6% 3.7% 1.7%
2 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.2% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 72.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1