Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 •
Giuseppe Sivori
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.25)
2.72 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.3% | 16.1% | 63.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 3
8.0%
0 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Club Milano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sestri Levante | 0 | 2.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Club Milano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 92% | 42% |
| Defense | 33% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Club Milano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Form: Sestri Levante: LWLWD • Club Milano: LLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Club Milano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sestri Levante | Club Milano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 20% | 40% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Club Milano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Club Milano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Club Milano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-5 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | — | 2-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Club Milano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Sestri Levante or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sestri Levante = 1.20 (league 1.25), Club Milano = 2.72 (league 1.10)
| Club Milano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sestri Levante | 0 | 2.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.3% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 63.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1