Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.25) 0.82 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.8% 23.1% 17.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Imperia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenzana 0 7.5% 6.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.3% 10.9% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.9% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValenzanaImperia
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack40%40%
Defense30%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valenzana Imperia
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%0%0%0%
Draws33%67%50%33%33%33%
Loses33%33%33%67%67%67%

Form: Valenzana: WLDDLD • Imperia: LLDLLD

League goals

Metric Valenzana Imperia
HATHAT
GF total426325
GF avg1.30.71.01.00.70.8
GA total44810515
GA avg1.31.31.33.31.72.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValenzanaImperia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%67%83%
1.517%33%17%83%
2.50%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValenzanaImperia
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricValenzanaImperia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricValenzanaImperia
Wins10
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1
Biggest losses1-22-00-53-1
Goals For2121
Goals Against2253

Model comparison

MetricValenzanaImperia
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Valenzana or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away3.30 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valenzana = 1.76 (league 1.25), Imperia = 0.82 (league 1.10)

Imperia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenzana 0 7.5% 6.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.3% 10.9% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.9% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.8% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 17.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1