Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.26) 2.74 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.2% 11.9% 76.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.9%
0 - 3
12.7%
0 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sestri Levante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gozzano 0 3.7% 10.1% 13.9% 12.7% 8.7% 4.8%
1 2.1% 5.6% 7.7% 7.1% 4.8% 2.7%
2 0.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGozzanoSestri Levante
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack60%100%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gozzano Sestri Levante
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%33%67%50%
Draws0%67%33%0%33%17%
Loses67%33%50%67%0%33%

Form: Gozzano: LLLDWD • Sestri Levante: LWLWDW

League goals

Metric Gozzano Sestri Levante
HATHAT
GF total3364913
GF avg1.01.01.01.33.02.2
GA total347729
GA avg1.01.31.22.30.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGozzanoSestri Levante
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%83%83%
1.517%33%67%17%
2.50%0%33%17%
3.50%0%17%17%
4.50%0%17%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGozzanoSestri Levante
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricGozzanoSestri Levante
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricGozzanoSestri Levante
Wins11
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-10-5
Biggest losses1-22-12-5—
Goals For2125
Goals Against2251

Model comparison

MetricGozzanoSestri Levante
Form33%67%
Att35%65%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h9%91%
Goals31%69%
Total27.7%72.3%

Advice: Winner : Sestri Levante

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 10Bet
Draw3.46 @ Marathonbet
Away3.64 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.83 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gozzano = 0.56 (league 1.26), Sestri Levante = 2.74 (league 1.09)

Sestri Levante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gozzano 0 3.7% 10.1% 13.9% 12.7% 8.7% 4.8%
1 2.1% 5.6% 7.7% 7.1% 4.8% 2.7%
2 0.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.2% · Draw 11.9% · Away win 76.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1