Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 • Campo Sportivo Ligorna
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.25) 1.82 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.4% 22.8% 56.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.4%
1 - 1
10.9%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Città di Varese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ligorna 0 6.3% 11.4% 10.4% 6.3% 2.8% 1.0%
1 6.0% 10.9% 9.9% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.8% 5.2% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLigornaCittà di Varese
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack70%50%
Defense60%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ligorna Città di Varese
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%33%100%67%
Draws33%67%50%33%0%17%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%17%

Form: Ligorna: WDWWDD • Città di Varese: WDWWWL

League goals

Metric Ligorna Città di Varese
HATHAT
GF total5510268
GF avg1.71.71.70.72.01.3
GA total336224
GA avg1.01.01.00.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLigornaCittà di Varese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%67%
1.550%33%50%0%
2.517%0%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLigornaCittà di Varese
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricLigornaCittà di Varese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLigornaCittà di Varese
Wins23
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-22-11-3
Biggest losses0-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricLigornaCittà di Varese
Form47%53%
Att58%42%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Ligorna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ligorna = 0.95 (league 1.25), Città di Varese = 1.82 (league 1.10)

Città di Varese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ligorna 0 6.3% 11.4% 10.4% 6.3% 2.8% 1.0%
1 6.0% 10.9% 9.9% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.8% 5.2% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.4% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 56.6%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1