Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Giuseppe Sivori
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.25)
2.71 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.6% | 10.0% | 81.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
17.9%
0 - 3
16.2%
0 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Vado | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sestri Levante | 0 | 4.9% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 5.9% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Vado |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 60% | 53% |
| Defense | 80% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Vado | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 75% | 57% | 100% | 67% | 86% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 67% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Sestri Levante: LWLWDWW • Vado: WWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Vado | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sestri Levante | Vado | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 71% | 100% | 29% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 57% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Vado | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Vado |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Vado |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Vado |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 12% | 88% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 45.3% | 54.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Vado
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sestri Levante = 0.31 (league 1.25), Vado = 2.71 (league 1.10)
| Vado | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sestri Levante | 0 | 4.9% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 5.9% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.6% · Draw 10.0% · Away win 81.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1