Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.25) 0.94 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.8% 19.5% 15.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Club Milano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenzana 0 4.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.7% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValenzanaClub Milano
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack50%33%
Defense58%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valenzana Club Milano
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%0%0%0%
Draws25%50%38%25%25%25%
Loses25%25%25%75%75%75%

Form: Valenzana: WLDDLDWW • Club Milano: LLDDLLLL

League goals

Metric Valenzana Club Milano
HATHAT
GF total639336
GF avg1.50.81.10.80.80.8
GA total5497714
GA avg1.31.01.11.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValenzanaClub Milano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%50%88%
1.525%25%25%75%
2.50%0%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValenzanaClub Milano
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricValenzanaClub Milano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricValenzanaClub Milano
Wins10
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1——
Biggest losses1-22-00-22-0
Goals For2122
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricValenzanaClub Milano
Form89%11%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total72.3%27.8%

Advice: Double chance : Valenzana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ William Hill
Away4.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valenzana = 2.16 (league 1.25), Club Milano = 0.94 (league 1.10)

Club Milano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenzana 0 4.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.7% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.8% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 15.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1