Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.25)
0.41 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.2% | 13.6% | 4.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.4%
1 - 0
14.5%
3 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Città di Varese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vado | 0 | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.4% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.9% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vado | Città di Varese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 67% | 42% |
| Defense | 83% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vado | Città di Varese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 75% | 88% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Form: Vado: WWWWWDWW • Città di Varese: WDWWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Vado | Città di Varese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vado | Città di Varese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 25% | 63% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 38% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vado | Città di Varese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vado | Città di Varese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vado | Città di Varese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vado | Città di Varese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 64.7% | 35.3% |
Advice: Winner : Vado
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vado = 2.39 (league 1.25), Città di Varese = 0.41 (league 1.10)
| Città di Varese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vado | 0 | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.4% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.9% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.2% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 4.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
