Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 •
Giuseppe Sivori
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.24)
1.44 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.0% | 26.9% | 51.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.2%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Valenzana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sestri Levante | 0 | 10.6% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Valenzana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 56% | 78% |
| Defense | 56% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Valenzana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 60% | 44% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 75% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Form: Sestri Levante: LWLWDWWLD • Valenzana: WLDDLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Valenzana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sestri Levante | Valenzana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 78% | 89% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 11% | 33% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Valenzana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Valenzana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Valenzana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-5 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | — | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Valenzana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 45.3% | 54.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Valenzana
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sestri Levante = 0.81 (league 1.24), Valenzana = 1.44 (league 1.11)
| Valenzana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sestri Levante | 0 | 10.6% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 51.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1