Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Campo Sportivo Ligorna
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.25) 0.44 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.8% 23.9% 9.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.9%
2 - 0
16.7%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Valenzana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ligorna 0 13.1% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 9.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 7.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLigornaValenzana
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack62%54%
Defense69%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ligorna Valenzana
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%33%55%50%20%36%
Draws20%50%36%17%60%36%
Loses0%17%9%33%20%27%

Form: Ligorna: WDWWDDWWLWD • Valenzana: WLDDLDWWWDL

League goals

Metric Ligorna Valenzana
HATHAT
GF total108189413
GF avg2.01.31.61.50.81.2
GA total37109514
GA avg0.61.20.91.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLigornaValenzana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%55%91%91%
1.545%27%27%27%
2.518%9%0%9%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLigornaValenzana
HATHAT
Clean sheets325011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricLigornaValenzana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLigornaValenzana
Wins23
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-10-1
Biggest losses—3-01-32-0
Goals For4221
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricLigornaValenzana
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total60.8%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ligorna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away5.59 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ligorna = 1.60 (league 1.25), Valenzana = 0.44 (league 1.10)

Valenzana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ligorna 0 13.1% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 9.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 7.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.8% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 9.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1