Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.24) 1.77 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.9% 19.3% 27.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.8%
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Città di Varese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenzana 0 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.7% 6.5% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.4% 7.8% 6.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.3% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.2% 3.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValenzanaCittà di Varese
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack50%60%
Defense30%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valenzana Città di Varese
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%17%33%50%50%50%
Draws17%50%33%17%0%8%
Loses33%33%33%33%50%42%

Form: Valenzana: WLDDLDWWWDLL • Città di Varese: WDWWWLLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Valenzana Città di Varese
HATHAT
GF total94136814
GF avg1.50.71.11.01.31.2
GA total971661218
GA avg1.51.21.31.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValenzanaCittà di Varese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%92%67%75%
1.525%33%33%42%
2.50%8%17%25%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValenzanaCittà di Varese
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score022314

Penalties

MetricValenzanaCittà di Varese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricValenzanaCittà di Varese
Wins33
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-21-3
Biggest losses1-32-00-24-0
Goals For2133
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricValenzanaCittà di Varese
Form54%46%
Att45%55%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Valenzana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ 1xBet
Draw3.12 @ Marathonbet
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Marathonbet
No1.94 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valenzana = 2.43 (league 1.24), Città di Varese = 1.77 (league 1.10)

Città di Varese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenzana 0 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.7% 6.5% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.4% 7.8% 6.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.3% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.2% 3.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.9% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 27.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1