Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 •
Campo comunale Olmo-Ferro
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.24)
1.30 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.3% | 26.9% | 38.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Derthona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celle Varazze | 0 | 8.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Celle Varazze | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 70% | 100% |
| Defense | 40% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Celle Varazze | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 40% | 33% | 36% | 17% | 67% | 42% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 40% | 33% | 36% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
Form: Celle Varazze: LWWLDDWLLWD • Derthona: WLLLWDLDWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Celle Varazze | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Celle Varazze | Derthona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 82% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 18% | 42% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 9% | 25% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Celle Varazze | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Celle Varazze | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Celle Varazze | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Celle Varazze | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Derthona
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Celle Varazze = 1.21 (league 1.24), Derthona = 1.30 (league 1.11)
| Derthona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celle Varazze | 0 | 8.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.3% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 38.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1