Serie D - Girone A — Italy
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Edoardo Riboli
Match Finished

Lavagnese

1 - 1

Gozzano

Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.24) 1.08 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.2% 26.2% 28.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Gozzano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lavagnese 0 7.9% 8.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.5% 6.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLavagneseGozzano
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack50%80%
Defense40%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lavagnese Gozzano
HATHAT
Played66126511
Wins17%33%25%50%0%27%
Draws67%33%50%0%40%18%
Loses17%33%25%50%60%55%

Form: Lavagnese: WDDLDWLDDWDL • Gozzano: LLLDWDLLWLW

League goals

Metric Lavagnese Gozzano
HATHAT
GF total67139514
GF avg1.01.21.11.51.01.3
GA total79165914
GA avg1.21.51.30.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLavagneseGozzano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%92%82%82%
1.525%25%27%36%
2.50%17%18%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLavagneseGozzano
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricLavagneseGozzano
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricLavagneseGozzano
Wins11
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-0—
Biggest losses1-33-11-23-1
Goals For2231
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricLavagneseGozzano
Form50%50%
Att38%62%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h85%15%
Goals83%17%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Lavagnese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ William Hill
Draw2.95 @ Betano
Away2.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.61 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Lavagnese vs Gozzano

Expected goals (λ): Lavagnese = 1.45 (league 1.24), Gozzano = 1.08 (league 1.11)

Gozzano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lavagnese 0 7.9% 8.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.5% 6.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 28.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1