Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.25) 0.51 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.9% 26.8% 13.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
14.8%
0 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Valenzana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gozzano 0 14.3% 7.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 10.4% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 7.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGozzanoValenzana
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack100%50%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gozzano Valenzana
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%14%31%43%17%31%
Draws0%43%23%14%50%31%
Loses50%43%46%43%33%38%

Form: Gozzano: LLLDWDLLWLWDW • Valenzana: WLDDLDWWWDLLL

League goals

Metric Gozzano Valenzana
HATHAT
GF total98179413
GF avg1.51.11.31.30.71.0
GA total5111611718
GA avg0.81.61.21.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGozzanoValenzana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%77%92%
1.531%31%23%38%
2.515%8%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGozzanoValenzana
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score202123

Penalties

MetricGozzanoValenzana
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricGozzanoValenzana
Wins13
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-10-1
Biggest losses1-23-11-32-0
Goals For3221
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricGozzanoValenzana
Form71%29%
Att71%29%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.5%29.5%

Advice: Double chance : Gozzano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ Unibet
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away4.34 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.91 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gozzano = 1.44 (league 1.25), Valenzana = 0.51 (league 1.10)

Valenzana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gozzano 0 14.3% 7.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 10.4% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 7.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.9% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 13.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1