Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Fausto Coppi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.28) 0.67 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.2% 30.2% 20.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sanremese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derthona 0 15.1% 10.1% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.4% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerthonaSanremese
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack100%67%
Defense56%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derthona Sanremese
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%71%46%29%0%15%
Draws33%0%15%57%33%46%
Loses50%29%38%14%67%38%

Form: Derthona: WLLLWDLDWLWWW • Sanremese: LDDDLLDWLWDLD

League goals

Metric Derthona Sanremese
HATHAT
GF total713209312
GF avg1.21.91.51.30.50.9
GA total99186814
GA avg1.51.31.40.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerthonaSanremese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%77%69%77%
1.546%46%23%23%
2.523%15%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerthonaSanremese
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score112044

Penalties

MetricDerthonaSanremese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDerthonaSanremese
Wins11
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-0—
Biggest losses1-33-11-22-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricDerthonaSanremese
Form71%29%
Att65%35%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Derthona or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.73 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derthona = 1.22 (league 1.28), Sanremese = 0.67 (league 1.12)

Sanremese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derthona 0 15.1% 10.1% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.4% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 20.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1