Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Fausto Coppi
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.25)
2.03 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.2% | 21.4% | 51.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
9.3%
0 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Città di Varese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derthona | 0 | 3.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derthona | Città di Varese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 14% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derthona | Città di Varese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 14% | 71% | 43% | 43% | 57% | 50% |
| Draws | 29% | 0% | 14% | 29% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 57% | 29% | 43% | 29% | 43% | 36% |
Form: Derthona: WLLLWDLDWLWWWL • Città di Varese: WDWWWLLWLLLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Derthona | Città di Varese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 13 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derthona | Città di Varese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 79% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 50% | 36% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 14% | 14% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derthona | Città di Varese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derthona | Città di Varese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derthona | Città di Varese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derthona | Città di Varese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Città di Varese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Derthona = 1.36 (league 1.25), Città di Varese = 2.03 (league 1.10)
| Città di Varese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derthona | 0 | 3.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.2% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 51.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1