Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Fausto Coppi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.27) 2.00 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 21.7% 51.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Città di Varese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derthona 0 3.5% 7.1% 7.1% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9%
1 4.7% 9.5% 9.5% 6.3% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.4% 6.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerthonaCittà di Varese
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense14%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derthona Città di Varese
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%71%43%43%57%50%
Draws29%0%14%29%0%14%
Loses57%29%43%29%43%36%

Form: Derthona: WLLLWDLDWLWWWL • Città di Varese: WDWWWLLWLLLWWD

League goals

Metric Derthona Città di Varese
HATHAT
GF total7132071017
GF avg1.01.91.41.01.41.2
GA total1192071219
GA avg1.61.31.41.01.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerthonaCittà di Varese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%71%71%
1.543%50%36%36%
2.521%14%14%21%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerthonaCittà di Varese
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score213314

Penalties

MetricDerthonaCittà di Varese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricDerthonaCittà di Varese
Wins33
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-21-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-24-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricDerthonaCittà di Varese
Form56%44%
Att56%44%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h40%60%
Goals25%75%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Città di Varese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Betano
Draw3.24 @ Marathonbet
Away2.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derthona = 1.34 (league 1.27), Città di Varese = 2.00 (league 1.12)

Città di Varese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derthona 0 3.5% 7.1% 7.1% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9%
1 4.7% 9.5% 9.5% 6.3% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.4% 6.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 51.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1