Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Giuseppe Sivori
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.24) 1.64 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.6% 24.6% 53.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 2
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Celle Varazze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sestri Levante 0 7.6% 12.4% 10.1% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.1% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.4% 5.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSestri LevanteCelle Varazze
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack89%67%
Defense78%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sestri Levante Celle Varazze
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins14%63%40%38%29%33%
Draws43%38%40%25%43%33%
Loses43%0%20%38%29%33%

Form: Sestri Levante: LWLWDWWLDDWDWDD • Celle Varazze: LWWLDDWLLWDLWDD

League goals

Metric Sestri Levante Celle Varazze
HATHAT
GF total618249918
GF avg0.92.31.61.11.31.2
GA total104148917
GA avg1.40.50.91.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSestri LevanteCelle Varazze
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%67%67%80%
1.540%7%40%27%
2.520%7%13%7%
3.513%7%0%0%
4.513%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSestri LevanteCelle Varazze
HATHAT
Clean sheets145213
Failed to score314325

Penalties

MetricSestri LevanteCelle Varazze
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricSestri LevanteCelle Varazze
Wins22
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-53-11-3
Biggest losses2-5—0-22-0
Goals For2533
Goals Against5123

Model comparison

MetricSestri LevanteCelle Varazze
Form60%40%
Att57%43%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sestri Levante or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ 1xBet
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away3.25 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Superbet
No2.05 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sestri Levante = 0.94 (league 1.24), Celle Varazze = 1.64 (league 1.11)

Celle Varazze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sestri Levante 0 7.6% 12.4% 10.1% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.1% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.4% 5.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 53.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1