Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Campo Sportivo Ligorna
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.24) 0.36 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.5% 22.3% 7.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.9%
2 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Asti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ligorna 0 13.1% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.9% 7.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 6.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLigornaAsti
Played55
Form87%7%
Attack100%22%
Defense78%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ligorna Asti
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins86%50%67%13%43%27%
Draws14%38%27%25%29%27%
Loses0%13%7%63%29%47%

Form: Ligorna: WDWWDDWWLWDWWWW • Asti: WLDDDLWLWWLLLLD

League goals

Metric Ligorna Asti
HATHAT
GF total1613295712
GF avg2.31.61.90.61.00.8
GA total381110616
GA avg0.41.00.71.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLigornaAsti
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%47%60%67%
1.553%20%20%33%
2.527%7%0%7%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLigornaAsti
HATHAT
Clean sheets538235
Failed to score011426

Penalties

MetricLigornaAsti
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLigornaAsti
Wins22
Draws23
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-41-00-2
Biggest losses—3-00-22-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricLigornaAsti
Form93%7%
Att86%14%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total70.7%29.3%

Advice: Winner : Ligorna

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Bet365
Draw4.76 @ Pinnacle
Away9.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Superbet
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ligorna = 1.67 (league 1.24), Asti = 0.36 (league 1.11)

Asti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ligorna 0 13.1% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.9% 7.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 6.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.5% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 7.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1