Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Franco Ossola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.24) 0.90 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.7% 30.3% 28.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lavagnese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Città di Varese 0 13.1% 11.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.4% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCittà di VareseLavagnese
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack69%23%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Città di Varese Lavagnese
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins43%56%50%22%29%25%
Draws29%11%19%56%29%44%
Loses29%33%31%22%43%31%

Form: Città di Varese: WDWWWLLWLLLWWDWD • Lavagnese: WDDLDWLDDWDLDLWL

League goals

Metric Città di Varese Lavagnese
HATHAT
GF total713209716
GF avg1.01.41.31.01.01.0
GA total7142191019
GA avg1.01.61.31.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCittà di VareseLavagnese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%88%
1.538%31%25%19%
2.513%19%0%13%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCittà di VareseLavagnese
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score314224

Penalties

MetricCittà di VareseLavagnese
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricCittà di VareseLavagnese
Wins31
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-33-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricCittà di VareseLavagnese
Form73%27%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Città di Varese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Superbet
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away3.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Città di Varese = 1.13 (league 1.24), Lavagnese = 0.90 (league 1.11)

Lavagnese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Città di Varese 0 13.1% 11.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.4% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 28.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1