Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Franco Ossola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.28) 0.73 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.9% 35.3% 28.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.4%
1 - 0
17.5%
0 - 1
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Imperia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Città di Varese 0 20.4% 14.9% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 12.8% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.5% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCittà di VareseImperia
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack54%54%
Defense77%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Città di Varese Imperia
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins50%56%53%38%33%35%
Draws25%11%18%13%22%18%
Loses25%33%29%50%44%47%

Form: Città di Varese: WDWWWLLWLLLWWDWDW • Imperia: LLDLLDLWWLLWWWWLD

League goals

Metric Città di Varese Imperia
HATHAT
GF total8132111819
GF avg1.01.41.21.40.91.1
GA total71421141024
GA avg0.91.61.21.81.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCittà di VareseImperia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%71%76%65%
1.535%29%24%47%
2.512%18%12%18%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCittà di VareseImperia
HATHAT
Clean sheets325246
Failed to score314224

Penalties

MetricCittà di VareseImperia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricCittà di VareseImperia
Wins34
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-00-1
Biggest losses0-24-00-53-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against2453

Model comparison

MetricCittà di VareseImperia
Form52%48%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h71%29%
Goals61%39%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Città di Varese or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 10Bet
Away3.66 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No2.01 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Città di Varese = 0.86 (league 1.28), Imperia = 0.73 (league 1.11)

Imperia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Città di Varese 0 20.4% 14.9% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 12.8% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.5% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.9% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 28.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1