Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Fausto Coppi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.27) 1.13 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.0% 28.9% 35.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Club Milano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derthona 0 10.8% 12.1% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerthonaClub Milano
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack38%15%
Defense46%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derthona Club Milano
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins11%75%41%25%11%18%
Draws22%0%12%25%22%24%
Loses67%25%47%50%67%59%

Form: Derthona: WLLLWDLDWLWWWLLWL • Club Milano: LLDDLLLLLWLWDLLDW

League goals

Metric Derthona Club Milano
HATHAT
GF total914237613
GF avg1.01.81.40.90.70.8
GA total1692591322
GA avg1.81.11.51.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerthonaClub Milano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%76%47%76%
1.535%53%29%47%
2.518%18%0%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerthonaClub Milano
HATHAT
Clean sheets134314
Failed to score213459

Penalties

MetricDerthonaClub Milano
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricDerthonaClub Milano
Wins31
Draws12
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-10-22-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricDerthonaClub Milano
Form55%45%
Att71%29%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Derthona or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.18 @ Marathonbet
Away3.08 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.70 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Superbet
No1.90 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derthona = 1.11 (league 1.27), Club Milano = 1.13 (league 1.12)

Club Milano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derthona 0 10.8% 12.1% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.0% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 35.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1