Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Edoardo Riboli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.28) 0.54 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.7% 37.5% 21.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.6%
1 - 0
21.2%
0 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cairese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lavagnese 0 24.6% 13.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.2% 11.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.1% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLavagneseCairese
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack11%21%
Defense63%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lavagnese Cairese
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins22%22%22%10%38%22%
Draws56%22%39%50%13%33%
Loses22%56%39%40%50%44%

Form: Lavagnese: WDDLDWLDDWDLDLWLLL • Cairese: LDDLDWLLLWLLLWDDDW

League goals

Metric Lavagnese Cairese
HATHAT
GF total97168513
GF avg1.00.80.90.80.60.7
GA total9152413922
GA avg1.01.71.31.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLavagneseCairese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%89%61%78%
1.522%22%11%33%
2.50%17%0%11%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLavagneseCairese
HATHAT
Clean sheets202134
Failed to score246347

Penalties

MetricLavagneseCairese
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricLavagneseCairese
Wins11
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-11-2
Biggest losses1-34-01-33-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricLavagneseCairese
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h88%13%
Goals78%22%
Total51.3%48.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lavagnese or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Dafabet
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.55 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Marathonbet
No1.76 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lavagnese = 0.86 (league 1.28), Cairese = 0.54 (league 1.11)

Cairese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lavagnese 0 24.6% 13.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.2% 11.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.1% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 21.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1