Sestri Levante vs Derthona

Serie D - Girone A — Italy

Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 • Giuseppe Sivori

Match Finished

Sestri Levante

4 - 0

Derthona

Expected Goals

0.96 (league 1.27) 2.25 (league 1.12)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
14.6%	18.7%	63.9%

best score tips

0 - 2

10.3%

1 - 2

9.8%

0 - 1

9.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Derthona
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sestri Levante	0	4.1%	9.1%	10.3%	7.7%	4.3%	1.9%
	1	3.9%	8.7%	9.8%	7.4%	4.1%	1.9%
	2	1.9%	4.2%	4.7%	3.5%	2.0%	0.9%
	3	0.6%	1.3%	1.5%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%
	4	0.1%	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Sestri Levante	Derthona
Played	5	5
Form	73%	40%
Attack	37%	32%
Defense	84%	63%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%

FT probability

2.5+

54%

FT probability

3.5+

39%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Sestri Levante			Derthona
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	8	10	18	10	8	18
Wins	25%	70%	50%	20%	75%	44%
Draws	38%	30%	33%	20%	0%	11%
Loses	38%	0%	17%	60%	25%	44%

Form: Sestri Levante: LWLWDWWLDDWDWDDWWW • Derthona: WLLLWDLDWLWWWLLWLW

League goals

Metric	Sestri Levante			Derthona
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	9	22	31	12	14	26
GF avg	1.1	2.2	1.7	1.2	1.8	1.4
GA total	11	6	17	16	9	25
GA avg	1.4	0.6	0.9	1.6	1.1	1.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Sestri Levante		Derthona
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	78%	72%	83%	72%
1.5	50%	6%	39%	50%
2.5	22%	6%	22%	17%
3.5	11%	6%	0%	0%
4.5	11%	6%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Sestri Levante			Derthona
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	4	5	2	3	5
Failed to score	3	1	4	2	1	3

Penalties

Metric	Sestri Levante	Derthona
Scored (total \| %)	5 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	5	3

Streaks

Metric	Sestri Levante	Derthona
Wins	2	3
Draws	2	1
Losses	1	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	0-5	3-0	0-2
Biggest losses	2-5	—	1-3	3-1
Goals For	3	5	3	3
Goals Against	5	1	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Sestri Levante	Derthona
Form	65%	35%
Att	54%	46%
Def	70%	30%
Poisson Distribution	33%	67%
H2h	93%	7%
Goals	79%	21%
Total	65.7%	34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Sestri Levante or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 1xBet

Draw3.20 @ Marathonbet

Away3.35 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.51.78 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Marathonbet

No1.96 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2026-01-11T12:00:29+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.04
Draw	3.20
Away	3.22

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.39
Draw	2.39
Away	3.50

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.58
Away -1.25	1.21
Home -1	3.14
Away -1	1.27
Home -0.75	2.38
Away -0.75	1.46
Home -0.25	1.76
Away -0.25	1.86
Home +0	1.51
Away +0	2.34
Home +0.25	1.36
Away +0.25	2.70
Home +0.75	1.16
Away +0.75	4.10
Home -2	8.10
Away -2	1.02
Home +1	1.06
Away +1	6.30
Home -1.5	4.00
Away -1.5	1.17
Home +1.5	1.03
Away +1.5	7.40
Home -2.5	9.00
Away -2.5	1.00

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.26
Under 1.5	3.20
Over 1.75	1.33
Under 1.75	2.83
Over 2.0	1.43
Under 2.0	2.46
Over 2.25	1.66
Under 2.25	1.99
Over 2.5	1.91
Under 2.5	1.78
Over 2.75	2.15
Under 2.75	1.56
Over 3.5	3.28
Under 3.5	1.25
Over 1.0	1.02
Under 1.0	8.00
Over 3.0	2.62
Under 3.0	1.38
Over 3.25	2.92
Under 3.25	1.31
Over 3.75	4.10
Under 3.75	1.16
Over 4.0	5.75
Under 4.0	1.07

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.83
Under 1.5	1.34
Over 0.5	1.37
Under 0.5	2.71
Over 1.0	1.87
Under 1.0	1.81

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.11
Under 1.5	1.63
Over 2.0	3.58
Under 2.0	1.22
Over 1.0	1.42
Under 1.0	2.53

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.72
No	1.93

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	4.00
Away -1	1.61
Draw -1	3.78
Home +1	1.25
Draw +1	4.95
Away +1	7.40

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.25
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	1.61

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.69
Draw	2.02
Away	3.88

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.72
Draw	10.50
Away	2.24

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.72
Draw	10.50
Away	2.24

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.11
Under 1.5	1.63
Over 1	1.41
Under 1	2.61
Over 2	3.58
Under 2	1.23

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.89
Under 1.5	1.34
Over 1	1.87
Under 1	1.81
Over 2	6.35
Under 2	1.06

1xBet Updated: 2026-01-11T12:00:29+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.06
Draw	3.20
Away	3.29

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.41
Draw	2.39
Away	3.62

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.58
Away -1.25	1.21
Home -1	3.14
Away -1	1.27
Home -0.75	2.38
Away -0.75	1.46
Home -0.25	1.76
Away -0.25	1.86
Home +0	1.51
Away +0	2.34
Home +0.25	1.36
Away +0.25	2.70
Home +0.75	1.16
Away +0.75	4.10
Home -2	8.10
Away -2	1.02
Home +1	1.06
Away +1	6.30
Home -1.5	4.00
Away -1.5	1.17
Home +1.5	1.03
Away +1.5	7.40
Home -2.5	9.00
Away -2.5	1.00

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.26
Under 1.5	3.20
Over 1.75	1.33
Under 1.75	2.83
Over 2.0	1.43
Under 2.0	2.46
Over 2.25	1.66
Under 2.25	1.99
Over 2.5	1.91
Under 2.5	1.78
Over 2.75	2.15
Under 2.75	1.56
Over 3.5	3.28
Under 3.5	1.25
Over 1.0	1.02
Under 1.0	8.00
Over 3.0	2.62
Under 3.0	1.38
Over 4.5	6.60
Under 4.5	1.08
Over 3.25	2.92
Under 3.25	1.31
Over 3.75	4.10
Under 3.75	1.16
Over 4.0	5.75
Under 4.0	1.07
Over 5.5	10.00
Under 5.5	1.02

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.83
Under 1.5	1.34
Over 2.5	6.90
Under 2.5	1.07
Over 0.5	1.37
Under 0.5	2.71
Over 0.75	1.53
Under 0.75	2.27
Over 1.0	1.87
Under 1.0	1.81
Over 1.25	2.34
Under 1.25	1.50

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.11
Under 1.5	1.63
Over 1.75	2.57
Under 1.75	1.42
Over 2.0	3.58
Under 2.0	1.22
Over 2.5	4.60
Under 2.5	1.16
Over 0.5	1.23
Under 0.5	3.70
Over 1.0	1.42
Under 1.0	2.53
Over 1.25	1.77
Under 1.25	1.89

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	16.50
Home/Away	33.00
Draw/Away	7.70
Draw/Draw	4.70
Home/Home	3.30
Draw/Home	5.30
Away/Home	24.00
Away/Draw	16.50
Away/Away	5.50

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.72
No	1.96

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.90
2:0	6.20
2:1	5.80
3:0	12.00
3:1	11.00
3:2	19.00
4:0	30.00
4:1	28.00
0:0	6.20
1:1	4.00
2:2	8.80
0:1	6.40
0:2	11.00
0:3	30.00
1:2	7.60
1:3	20.00
2:3	26.00
3:3	45.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	70.00
2:4	90.00
4:2	50.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	90.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.42
1st Half	3.04
2nd Half	2.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.25
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	1.61

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.71
Draw	2.02
Away	4.05

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.11
Under 1.5	1.63
Over 2.5	4.25
Under 2.5	1.17
Over 1	1.41
Under 1	2.61
Over 2	3.58
Under 2	1.23
Over 0.5	1.19
Under 0.5	3.85

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.89
Under 1.5	1.34
Over 2.5	6.85
Under 2.5	1.07
Over 1	1.87
Under 1	1.81
Over 2	6.35
Under 2	1.06
Over 0.5	1.36
Under 0.5	2.75

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -1	6.90
Away -1	1.04
Home -0.25	2.15
Away -0.25	1.58
Home +0	1.56
Away +0	2.18
Home +0.25	1.30
Away +0.25	3.04

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.16
Home/Away	1.60
Draw/Away	1.33

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.19
Home/Away	1.42
Draw/Away	1.42

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	4.50
No	1.15

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	3.28
No	1.27

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.85
Even	1.79

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.04
Even	1.64

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.90
Even	1.75

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.01
Even	1.67

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.10
Away -1	1.10
Home -0.25	1.99
Away -0.25	1.68
Home +0	1.55
Away +0	2.20
Home +0.25	1.34
Away +0.25	2.83

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.91
Under 0.5	1.74

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.31
Under 0.5	1.50

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.62
Under 0.5	2.08

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.92
Under 0.5	1.73

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.92
Even	1.73

Betano Updated: 2026-01-11T12:00:29+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.05
Draw	3.15
Away	3.25

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.50
Away	2.27

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.40
Draw	2.40
Away	3.40

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	1.75
Away -0.25	1.87

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.88
Under 2.5	1.75

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.47
Under 1.5	1.38
Over 0.5	1.40
Under 0.5	2.42
Over 1.0	1.85
Under 1.0	1.70

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.00
Home/Away	35.00
Draw/Away	7.10
Draw/Draw	4.75
Home/Home	3.35
Draw/Home	4.85
Away/Home	26.00
Away/Draw	14.00
Away/Away	5.60

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.90
2:0	7.70
2:1	6.60
3:0	14.00
3:1	12.00
3:2	18.00
4:0	32.00
4:1	27.00
0:0	9.00
1:1	5.10
2:2	10.00
0:1	7.50
0:2	12.50
0:3	29.00
1:2	8.50
1:3	20.00
2:3	24.00
3:3	40.00
0:4	80.00
1:4	60.00
2:4	70.00
4:2	40.00
0:5	300.00
1:5	200.00
1:6	400.00
2:5	250.00
3:4	120.00
5:0	80.00
5:1	75.00
5:2	110.00
6:0	250.00
6:1	250.00
6:2	350.00
4:3	90.00
3:5	400.00
5:3	250.00
4:4	250.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.20
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	1.95

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.10
2:0	7.20
2:1	11.75
3:0	22.00
3:1	37.00
3:2	100.00
4:0	90.00
4:1	150.00
0:0	2.42
1:1	5.00
2:2	32.00
0:1	3.90
0:2	11.25
0:3	45.00
1:2	15.00
1:3	60.00
2:3	120.00
0:4	200.00
1:4	250.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.28
Home/Away	1.29
Draw/Away	1.62

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.67
Draw	2.02
Away	3.80

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.02
Away -0.25	1.57

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.23
Home/Away	1.62
Draw/Away	1.39

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.85
Even	1.78

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.53
Away	2.15

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.53
Away	2.15

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Sestri Levante vs Derthona

Expected goals (λ): Sestri Levante = 0.96 (league 1.27), Derthona = 2.25 (league 1.12)

		Derthona
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sestri Levante	0	4.1%	9.1%	10.3%	7.7%	4.3%	1.9%
	1	3.9%	8.7%	9.8%	7.4%	4.1%	1.9%
	2	1.9%	4.2%	4.7%	3.5%	2.0%	0.9%
	3	0.6%	1.3%	1.5%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%
	4	0.1%	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.6% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 63.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1

Metric	Sestri Levante	Derthona
Scored (total \| %)	5 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	5	3