Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.28) 0.45 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.6% 17.6% 6.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.2%
1 - 0
16.7%
3 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Asti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vado 0 8.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.7% 7.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.8% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVadoAsti
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack59%12%
Defense71%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vado Asti
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins88%60%72%10%38%22%
Draws0%20%11%30%25%28%
Loses13%20%17%60%38%50%

Form: Vado: WWWWWDWWWLWWLWDWWL • Asti: WLDDDLWLWWLLLLDLLD

League goals

Metric Vado Asti
HATHAT
GF total1912316814
GF avg2.41.21.70.61.00.8
GA total481212921
GA avg0.50.80.71.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVadoAsti
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%44%61%67%
1.544%17%17%39%
2.528%6%0%11%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVadoAsti
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510336
Failed to score033527

Penalties

MetricVadoAsti
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricVadoAsti
Wins52
Draws13
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-31-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-23-1
Goals For6322
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricVadoAsti
Form83%17%
Att83%17%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total72.7%27.3%

Advice: Winner : Vado

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw3.82 @ Marathonbet
Away6.89 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vado = 2.06 (league 1.28), Asti = 0.45 (league 1.11)

Asti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vado 0 8.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.7% 7.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.8% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.6% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 6.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1