Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Giuseppe Sivori
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.29)
1.22 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.5% | 21.7% | 23.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Gozzano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sestri Levante | 0 | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Gozzano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 64% |
| Defense | 82% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Gozzano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 36% | 75% | 57% | 36% | 8% | 22% |
| Draws | 27% | 25% | 26% | 9% | 50% | 30% |
| Loses | 36% | 0% | 17% | 55% | 42% | 48% |
Sestri LevanteLWLWDWWLDDWDWDDWWWWWWLW
GozzanoLLLDWDLLWLWDWLDLDDWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Gozzano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 26 | 43 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 12 | 20 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sestri Levante | Gozzano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 65% | 74% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 4% | 26% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 4% | 13% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 4% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Gozzano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Gozzano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Gozzano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | — | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Gozzano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 63% | 37% |
| Def | 82% | 18% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 74.7% | 25.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.62 @ Bet365
Draw3.70 @ Superbet
Away6.15 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.07 @ Superbet
No1.70 @ William Hill
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League standings
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