Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Franco Ossola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.27) 1.61 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.5% 24.8% 57.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Vado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Città di Varese 0 9.4% 15.1% 12.1% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.1% 11.4% 9.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 2.7% 4.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCittà di VareseVado
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack50%100%
Defense42%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Città di Varese Vado
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins42%46%44%83%62%72%
Draws25%23%24%8%23%16%
Loses33%31%32%8%15%12%

Form: Città di Varese: WDWWWLLWLLLWWDWDWDWLDWDLL • Vado: WWWWWDWWWLWWLWDWWLWWWDWWD

League goals

Metric Città di Varese Vado
HATHAT
GF total141933291948
GF avg1.21.51.32.41.51.9
GA total14213571017
GA avg1.21.61.40.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCittà di VareseVado
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%72%88%44%
1.532%36%48%20%
2.516%28%32%4%
3.54%4%12%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCittà di VareseVado
HATHAT
Clean sheets4377714
Failed to score325033

Penalties

MetricCittà di VareseVado
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricCittà di VareseVado
Wins35
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-36-00-4
Biggest losses1-34-01-23-0
Goals For3464
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricCittà di VareseVado
Form31%69%
Att32%68%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total31.2%68.8%

Advice: Winner : Vado

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.34 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away1.82 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Città di Varese = 0.76 (league 1.27), Vado = 1.61 (league 1.12)

Vado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Città di Varese 0 9.4% 15.1% 12.1% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.1% 11.4% 9.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 2.7% 4.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 57.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1