Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.27)
0.91 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.3% | 23.9% | 19.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ligorna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vado | 0 | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vado | Ligorna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 90% |
| Defense | 60% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vado | Ligorna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 83% | 57% | 69% | 77% | 62% | 69% |
| Draws | 8% | 21% | 15% | 8% | 31% | 19% |
| Loses | 8% | 21% | 15% | 15% | 8% | 12% |
Form: Vado: WWWWWDWWWLWWLWDWWLWWWDWWDL • Ligorna: WDWWDDWWLWDWWWWWDWWWWWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Vado | Ligorna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 19 | 48 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vado | Ligorna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 46% | 85% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 19% | 54% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 4% | 35% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vado | Ligorna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vado | Ligorna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vado | Ligorna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vado | Ligorna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Vado or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vado = 1.71 (league 1.27), Ligorna = 0.91 (league 1.12)
| Ligorna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vado | 0 | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 19.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1