Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Cesare Brin
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.30)
1.41 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.6% | 27.4% | 53.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.1%
0 - 0
12.1%
0 - 2
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Derthona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cairese | 0 | 12.1% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cairese | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 30% | 30% |
| Defense | 60% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cairese | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 8% | 38% | 23% | 14% | 58% | 35% |
| Draws | 54% | 31% | 42% | 21% | 8% | 15% |
| Loses | 38% | 31% | 35% | 64% | 33% | 50% |
Form: Cairese: LDDLDWLLLWLLLWDDDWWDDDDWLD • Derthona: WLLLWDLDWLWWWLLWLWLLLDDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Cairese | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 13 | 16 | 29 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 16 | 13 | 29 | 22 | 15 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cairese | Derthona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 73% | 69% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 8% | 15% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cairese | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cairese | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cairese | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cairese | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Derthona and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.37 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ 1xBet
Away2.94 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cairese = 0.70 (league 1.30), Derthona = 1.41 (league 1.11)
| Derthona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cairese | 0 | 12.1% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.6% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 53.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1