Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 •
Giuseppe Sivori
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.29)
0.40 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.5% | 14.6% | 5.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.9%
1 - 0
15.7%
3 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| NovaRomentin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sestri Levante | 0 | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.6% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sestri Levante | NovaRomentin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 20% | 47% |
| Defense | 67% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sestri Levante | NovaRomentin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 29% | 64% | 46% | 33% | 7% | 21% |
| Draws | 36% | 29% | 32% | 7% | 14% | 10% |
| Loses | 36% | 7% | 21% | 60% | 79% | 69% |
Form: Sestri Levante: LWLWDWWLDDWDWDDWWWWWWLWLDDLD • NovaRomentin: LWLWLLLLWLLLLLWLDLLLDLDLWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Sestri Levante | NovaRomentin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 27 | 46 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 15 | 9 | 24 | 26 | 29 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sestri Levante | NovaRomentin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 71% | 41% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 4% | 24% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 4% | 7% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 4% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 4% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sestri Levante | NovaRomentin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sestri Levante | NovaRomentin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sestri Levante | NovaRomentin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 1-0 | 0-5 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sestri Levante | NovaRomentin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Sestri Levante or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sestri Levante = 2.28 (league 1.29), NovaRomentin = 0.40 (league 1.11)
| NovaRomentin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sestri Levante | 0 | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.6% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.5% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 5.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1