Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Franco Ossola
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.29)
1.55 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3% | 25.3% | 46.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Derthona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Città di Varese | 0 | 6.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Città di Varese | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Città di Varese | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 40% | 44% | 42% | 13% | 60% | 35% |
| Draws | 27% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 7% | 16% |
| Loses | 33% | 31% | 32% | 63% | 33% | 48% |
Città di VareseWDWWWLLWLLLWWDWDWDWLDWDLLWWDDLL
DerthonaWLLLWDLDWLWWWLLWLWLLLDDLWLLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Città di Varese | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 20 | 38 | 14 | 21 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 18 | 23 | 41 | 26 | 18 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Città di Varese | Derthona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 68% | 68% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 39% | 29% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 23% | 16% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Città di Varese | Derthona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Città di Varese | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Città di Varese | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Città di Varese | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.98 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Marathonbet
Away3.60 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.04 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.68 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.82 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…