Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Coni Castellina
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.42)
1.66 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.3% | 23.8% | 42.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.0%
0 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Varesina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sondrio | 0 | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sondrio | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 0% | 0% |
| Attack | 8% | 23% |
| Defense | 77% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 5 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sondrio | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Sondrio: LL • Varesina: LL
League goals
| Metric | Sondrio | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sondrio | Varesina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sondrio | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sondrio | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sondrio | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sondrio | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 0% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 49.4% | 50.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Sondrio or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sondrio = 1.41 (league 1.42), Varesina = 1.66 (league 1.20)
| Varesina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sondrio | 0 | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.3% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 42.9%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1