Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Comunale
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.43) 0.42 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.0% 16.8% 6.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.8%
1 - 0
16.9%
3 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Pavia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oltrepò 0 8.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.9% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 7.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.5% 5.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOltrepòPavia
Played22
Form100%0%
Attack31%8%
Defense85%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 21 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 15 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oltrepò Pavia
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%100%100%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%100%100%

Form: Oltrepò: WW • Pavia: LL

League goals

Metric Oltrepò Pavia
HATHAT
GF total134101
GF avg1.03.02.01.00.00.5
GA total022235
GA avg0.02.01.02.03.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOltrepòPavia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%100%
1.550%50%0%100%
2.550%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOltrepòPavia
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricOltrepòPavia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOltrepòPavia
Wins20
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-3
Biggest losses1-23-0
Goals For1310
Goals Against0223

Model comparison

MetricOltrepòPavia
Form100%0%
Att80%20%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total75.5%24.5%

Advice: Winner : Oltrepò

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oltrepò = 2.10 (league 1.43), Pavia = 0.42 (league 1.20)

Pavia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oltrepò 0 8.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.9% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 7.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.5% 5.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.0% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 6.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1