Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.38) 1.74 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.6% 21.8% 68.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.8%
0 - 2
17.2%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Oltrepò
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellanzese 0 11.4% 19.8% 17.2% 10.0% 4.3% 1.5%
1 5.0% 8.6% 7.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
2 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastellanzeseOltrepò
Played33
Form22%67%
Attack6%24%
Defense88%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.73 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castellanzese Oltrepò
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%50%100%67%
Draws100%50%67%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%33%50%0%33%

Form: Castellanzese: DDL • Oltrepò: WWL

League goals

Metric Castellanzese Oltrepò
HATHAT
GF total011134
GF avg0.00.50.30.53.01.3
GA total022123
GA avg0.01.00.70.52.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastellanzeseOltrepò
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%33%67%67%
1.50%33%33%33%
2.50%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastellanzeseOltrepò
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricCastellanzeseOltrepò
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCastellanzeseOltrepò
Wins02
Draws20
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-3
Biggest losses2-10-1
Goals For0113
Goals Against0212

Model comparison

MetricCastellanzeseOltrepò
Form25%75%
Att20%80%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total35.0%65.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Oltrepò and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Superbet
Draw3.02 @ Marathonbet
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castellanzese = 0.43 (league 1.38), Oltrepò = 1.74 (league 1.21)

Oltrepò
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellanzese 0 11.4% 19.8% 17.2% 10.0% 4.3% 1.5%
1 5.0% 8.6% 7.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
2 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.6% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 68.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1