Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Pietro Fortunati
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.43)
1.16 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.6% | 31.7% | 52.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.3%
0 - 0
19.1%
0 - 2
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Breno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pavia | 0 | 19.1% | 22.3% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pavia | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 12% | 12% |
| Defense | 71% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pavia | Breno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Pavia: LLW • Breno: DDD
League goals
| Metric | Pavia | Breno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pavia | Breno | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pavia | Breno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pavia | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pavia | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pavia | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Breno and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pavia = 0.49 (league 1.43), Breno = 1.16 (league 1.20)
| Breno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pavia | 0 | 19.1% | 22.3% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.6% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 52.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1