Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 •
Campo Comunale
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.50)
7.35 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1% | 2.9% | 20.1% |
best score tips
2 - 5
3.1%
1 - 5
2.7%
3 - 5
2.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Calepina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varesina | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Varesina | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 44% |
| Attack | 29% | 35% |
| Defense | 71% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Varesina | Real Calepina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Varesina: LLW • Real Calepina: LWD
League goals
| Metric | Varesina | Real Calepina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Varesina | Real Calepina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Varesina | Real Calepina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Varesina | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Varesina | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-1 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Varesina | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 58.4% | 41.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Varesina or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Varesina = 2.27 (league 1.50), Real Calepina = 7.35 (league 1.22)
| Real Calepina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varesina | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.1% · Draw 2.9% · Away win 20.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1